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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Vallecano

S T T S S

4–2

Full-time

Celta

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

28%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Celta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	4	2	+30	40
2	Ath Madrid	18	9	8	1	+13	35
3	Sevilla	18	9	6	3	+13	33
4	Alaves	18	9	4	5	+3	31
5	Real Madrid	18	9	3	6	+3	30
6	Betis	18	7	5	6	+0	26
7	Getafe	18	6	7	5	+4	25
8	Espanol	18	7	3	8	-5	24
9	Girona	18	5	8	5	-2	23
10	Levante	18	6	5	7	-4	23
11	Sociedad	18	6	4	8	+0	22
12	Valencia	18	4	10	4	+0	22
13	Eibar	18	5	7	6	-4	22
14	Celta	18	5	6	7	+1	21
15	Valladolid	18	5	6	7	-4	21
16	Leganes	18	4	7	7	-5	19
17	Ath Bilbao	18	3	10	5	-7	19
18	Villarreal	18	3	8	7	-4	17
19	Vallecano	18	4	4	10	-14	16
20	Huesca	18	2	5	11	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Real Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
6	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
7	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Betis	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
10	Getafe	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
12	Valencia	9	2	6	1	+3	12
13	Ath Bilbao	9	2	5	2	-3	11
14	Levante	9	3	2	4	-6	11
15	Girona	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Vallecano	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Villarreal	9	1	4	4	-3	7
19	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	10	5	1	4	+3	16
3	Sevilla	9	3	4	2	+6	13
4	Girona	9	3	4	2	+1	13
5	Valladolid	9	3	4	2	+0	13
6	Levante	9	3	3	3	+2	12
7	Getafe	9	2	6	1	+1	12
8	Ath Madrid	9	2	6	1	+1	12
9	Alaves	9	4	0	5	-2	12
10	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Real Madrid	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Celta	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Ath Bilbao	9	1	5	3	-4	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Espanol	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Huesca	9	1	1	7	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.