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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Villarreal

T U U S T

2–3

Full-time

Celta

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

21%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

7 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 17. · Celta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	8	4	2	+18	28
2	Sevilla	15	8	4	3	+11	28
3	Ath Madrid	15	7	7	1	+11	28
4	Alaves	15	7	3	5	+1	24
5	Real Madrid	14	7	2	5	+3	23
6	Getafe	15	5	6	4	+4	21
7	Levante	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Girona	14	5	6	3	+1	21
9	Espanol	14	6	3	5	+1	21
10	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Betis	14	5	4	5	-3	19
12	Valencia	15	3	9	3	+0	18
13	Eibar	14	5	3	6	-4	18
14	Celta	14	4	5	5	+3	17
15	Valladolid	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Leganes	15	4	5	6	-4	17
17	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-3	14
18	Ath Bilbao	14	1	8	5	-9	11
19	Vallecano	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Huesca	14	1	4	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+16	17
3	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
6	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+4	15
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Celta	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Leganes	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Levante	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Valencia	8	1	6	1	+2	9
14	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
2	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+6	12
3	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Getafe	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Alaves	8	3	0	5	-3	9
10	Ath Madrid	7	1	5	1	+0	8
11	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Leganes	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.