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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Vallecano
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Levante
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 26%
13%
38%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 7
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Levante 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 11 4 2 +29 37
2 Ath Madrid 17 9 7 1 +13 34
3 Sevilla 17 9 5 3 +13 32
4 Real Madrid 16 9 2 5 +5 29
5 Alaves 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 Betis 17 7 5 5 +1 26
7 Getafe 17 6 7 4 +5 25
8 Valencia 17 4 10 3 +1 22
9 Girona 17 5 7 5 -2 22
10 Levante 16 6 4 6 -3 22
11 Celta 17 5 6 6 +2 21
12 Valladolid 17 5 6 6 -3 21
13 Eibar 17 5 6 6 -4 21
14 Espanol 17 6 3 8 -6 21
15 Sociedad 17 5 4 8 -2 19
16 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -4 19
17 Ath Bilbao 17 2 10 5 -8 16
18 Villarreal 16 3 6 7 -4 15
19 Vallecano 16 2 4 10 -16 10
20 Huesca 17 1 5 11 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Levante
0–1 Toño
own goal
23′
José Ángel Pozo 🔁
↦ Álvaro García
43′
Half-time 0–1
58′
🟨 Sergio Postigo
60′
Rubén Rochina 0–2
José Luis Morales
1–2 Raúl de Tomás
67′
Ó. Trejo 🔁
↦ Adri Embarba
70′
78′
🔁 M. Simon
↦ E. Bardhi
78′
🔁 R. Dwamena
↦ Roger Martí
80′
🟨 Ruben Rochina
88′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Coke
Stole Dimitrievski 🟨
90′
Giannelli Imbula 🟨
90′
Álex Alegría 🔁
↦ Raúl de Tomás
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vallecano

3-4-3
13 S. Dimitrievski G
17 L. Advíncula D
16 Jordi Amat D
21 A. Ba D
20 E. Velázquez D
12 G. Imbula M
7 Álex Moreno D
18 Álvaro García M
27 Santi Comesaña M
9 Raúl de Tomás F
11 Adri Embarba M
Bench (7)
22 José Ángel Pozo
8 Ó. Trejo
15 Álex Alegría
1 Alberto García
2 Tito
14 Bebé
23 Alejandro Gálvez

Coach: Míchel

Levante

4-4-2
13 Oier G
12 Coke D
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño M
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
2 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
7 M. Simon
20 R. Dwamena
21 E. Boateng
6 Chema
8 S. Prcić
17 N. Vukčević
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.