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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Chievo
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 12. · Sampdoria 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fiorentina 11 8 0 3 +13 24
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 +4 24
3 Roma 11 7 2 2 +12 23
4 Napoli 11 6 4 1 +13 22
5 Sassuolo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Milan 11 6 1 4 -1 19
7 Lazio 11 6 0 5 -2 18
8 Atalanta 11 5 2 4 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Juventus 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Torino 11 4 3 4 +0 15
12 Chievo 10 3 3 4 +3 12
13 Udinese 11 3 3 5 -4 12
14 Genoa 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Empoli 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Palermo 10 3 2 5 -4 11
17 Frosinone 11 3 1 7 -7 10
18 Bologna 11 3 0 8 -6 9
19 Verona 11 0 6 5 -9 6
20 Carpi 11 1 3 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Sampdoria
8′
Eder 0–1
C. Carbonero
1–1 R. Inglese
R. Meggiorini
34′
38′
🟨 Matías Silvestre
Dario Dainelli 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Palombo
↦ D. Ivan
Përparim Hetemaj 🟨
59′
A. Paloschi 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
63′
Riccardo Meggiorini 🟨
69′
73′
🟨 Mattia Cassani
76′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ L. Muriel
S. Pepe 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
77′
82′
🔁 A. Cassano
↦ Eder
N. Rigoni 🔁
↦ R. Meggiorini
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
69 R. Meggiorini F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (11)
43 A. Paloschi
7 S. Pepe
4 N. Rigoni
6 G. Pinzi
10 A. Christiansen
12 B. Cesar
20 G. Sardo
31 S. Pellissier
32 W. Bressan
40 P. M'Poku
90 A. Seculin

Sampdoria

2 E. Viviano G
5 M. Cassani D
3 D. Mesbah D
26 M. Silvestre D
87 E. Zukanović D
8 É. Barreto M
7 Fernando M
77 C. Carbonero M
95 D. Ivan M
23 Eder F
24 L. Muriel F
Bench (12)
17 A. Palombo
21 R. Soriano
99 A. Cassano
1 C. Puggioni
4 N. Moisander
10 J. Correa
11 F. Bonazzoli
13 Pedro Pereira
19 V. Regini
29 L. De Silvestri
57 A. Brignoli
92 M. Rocca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.