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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Empoli

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Crotone

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

2 Offside 7

16 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Empoli 20. · Crotone 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Udinese	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Bologna	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Inter	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Torino	3	1	0	2	+2	3
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.