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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Udinese
T T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 20. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Napoli 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Roma 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Lazio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Pescara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Palermo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Inter 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Empoli
1–0 Felipe
3′
Felipe 🟨
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Büchel
↦ R. Krunić
53′
🟨 Manuel Pucciarelli
61′
🟨 Federico Barba
S. Perica 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
64′
69′
🔁 M. Zambelli
↦ F. Dimarco
73′
🟥 Vincent Laurini
75′
🔁 U. Ćosić
↦ A. El Hadji
Rodrigo De Paul 🟨
78′
P. Kone 🔁
↦ Lucas Evangelista
80′
Orestis Karnezis 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 Riccardo Saponara
2–0 S. Perica
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-1-2
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
27 S. Widmer M
3 Samir D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
8 E. Agyemang-Badu M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
95 Lucas Evangelista M
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
18 S. Perica
33 P. Kone
4 G. Angella
11 A. Peñaranda
14 J. Jankto
19 Ryder Matos
20 F. Lodi
21 Edenilson
22 S. Scuffet
53 Ali Adnan
96 Ewandro
99 A. Balić

Coach: G. Iachini

Empoli

4-3-1-2
23 A. Pelagotti G
6 G. Bellusci D
2 V. Laurini D
19 F. Barba D
4 F. Dimarco D
11 D. Croce M
10 R. Saponara M
33 R. Krunić M
8 A. El Hadji M
18 A. Gilardino F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (11)
77 M. Büchel
3 M. Zambelli
24 U. Ćosić
89 G. Marilungo
1 M. Pugliesi
5 F. Signorelli
17 R. Maiello
21 M. Pasqual
28 L. Skorupski
31 Matheus Pereira
88 A. Tello

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.