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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Empoli

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 14%

17%

11%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

39%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,6

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 17. · Palermo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	14	0	3	+22	42
2	Roma	18	12	2	4	+21	38
3	Napoli	18	10	5	3	+19	35
4	Lazio	18	10	4	4	+11	34
5	Milan	17	10	3	4	+7	33
6	Atalanta	18	10	2	6	+6	32
7	Inter	18	9	3	6	+7	30
8	Torino	18	8	4	6	+9	28
9	Fiorentina	18	7	6	5	+4	27
10	Udinese	18	7	4	7	+0	25
11	Chievo	18	7	4	7	-1	25
12	Genoa	18	6	5	7	-1	23
13	Sampdoria	18	6	5	7	-3	23
14	Cagliari	18	7	2	9	-15	23
15	Bologna	17	5	5	7	-5	20
16	Sassuolo	18	5	2	11	-9	17
17	Empoli	18	3	5	10	-16	14
18	Palermo	18	2	4	12	-19	10
19	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-18	9
20	Pescara	18	1	6	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	9	9	0	0	+20	27
2	Juventus	9	9	0	0	+18	27
3	Napoli	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Torino	9	6	2	1	+11	20
5	Inter	9	6	2	1	+11	20
6	Milan	9	6	2	1	+6	20
7	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+10	19
8	Cagliari	9	6	1	2	+1	19
9	Atalanta	9	6	0	3	+4	18
10	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Fiorentina	9	4	5	0	+4	17
12	Genoa	9	4	4	1	+7	16
13	Chievo	9	4	3	2	+2	15
14	Udinese	9	4	2	3	+2	14
15	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
16	Sassuolo	8	4	0	4	-2	12
17	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Empoli	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Pescara	9	0	4	5	-11	4
20	Palermo	9	0	1	8	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	4	3	2	+8	15
2	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
3	Lazio	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Milan	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Roma	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Udinese	9	3	2	4	-2	11
8	Fiorentina	9	3	1	5	+0	10
9	Chievo	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Inter	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	Palermo	9	2	3	4	-5	9
12	Torino	9	2	2	5	-2	8
13	Genoa	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-6	6
15	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	Bologna	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Sassuolo	10	1	2	7	-7	5
18	Pescara	9	1	2	6	-8	5
19	Cagliari	9	1	1	7	-16	4
20	Crotone	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.