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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Fiorentina

U S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Palermo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,7

This season — Serie A · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 23%

38%

Points per game

1,5

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

64%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 10. · Palermo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	12	0	3	+19	36
2	Roma	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Milan	15	10	2	3	+8	32
4	Napoli	15	8	4	3	+12	28
5	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+11	28
6	Atalanta	15	9	1	5	+7	28
7	Torino	15	7	4	4	+12	25
8	Sampdoria	15	6	4	5	-1	22
9	Inter	15	6	3	6	+1	21
10	Fiorentina	13	5	5	3	+5	20
11	Cagliari	15	6	2	7	-9	20
12	Genoa	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	Chievo	14	5	3	6	-2	18
14	Sassuolo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
15	Bologna	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-5	15
17	Empoli	15	2	4	9	-17	10
18	Pescara	15	1	5	9	-15	8
19	Crotone	15	1	3	11	-17	6
20	Palermo	14	1	3	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+17	24
2	Roma	7	7	0	0	+17	21
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Torino	7	5	2	0	+12	17
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Cagliari	7	5	1	1	+5	16
8	Sampdoria	7	5	1	1	+5	16
9	Atalanta	7	5	0	2	+5	15
10	Inter	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Genoa	7	3	4	0	+7	13
12	Bologna	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Sassuolo	7	4	0	3	-1	12
14	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Fiorentina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
16	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Crotone	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Pescara	8	0	4	4	-8	4
20	Palermo	7	0	0	7	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
2	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+2	13
3	Lazio	7	3	3	1	+3	12
4	Juventus	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Roma	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Fiorentina	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Torino	8	2	2	4	+0	8
9	Chievo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Inter	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Genoa	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Sassuolo	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Empoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Pescara	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Cagliari	8	1	1	6	-14	4
19	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.