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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Brann
U U T U S
4–4
Full-time
Jerv
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
43 Shots 15
18 Shots on target 5
12 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 13
18 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 30 18 9 3 +34 63
2 Molde 30 18 6 6 +30 60
3 Viking 30 17 6 7 +13 57
4 Lillestrom 30 14 7 9 +9 49
5 Rosenborg 30 13 9 8 +16 48
6 Kristiansund 30 14 4 12 -5 46
7 Valerenga 30 11 12 7 +9 45
8 Sarpsborg 08 30 11 6 13 -5 39
9 Stromsgodset 30 9 9 12 +0 36
10 Sandefjord 30 10 6 14 -14 36
11 Haugesund 30 9 8 13 +1 35
12 Tromso 30 8 11 11 -11 35
13 Odd 30 8 9 13 -14 33
14 Brann 30 5 11 14 -17 26
15 Stabaek 30 6 7 17 -27 25
16 Mjondalen 30 4 10 16 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Jerv
29′
⚽ T. Wichne 0–1
D. Campos
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Heggebø ⚽
49′
54′
🟨 John Olav Norheim
71′
🟨 Diego Campos
72′
🔁 J. Solli
↦ Pibe
M. Simba 🔁
↦ N. Jensen
78′
84′
🔁 S. Ibrahim
↦ K. Novak
R. Hove 🔁
↦ F. Knudsen
86′
O. Blomberg 🔁
↦ D. Wolfe
90′
K. Skaanes 🔁
↦ B. Finne
90′
Runar Ullaland Hove 🟥
91′
93′
⚽ D. Campos 1–2
100′
🔁 T. Zernichow
↦ T. Wichne
V. Sakor 🔁
↦ P. Strand
105′
111′
🔁 F. Schröter
↦ I. Mafi
112′
⚽ D. Campos 1–3
Ø. Øvretveit
2–3 K. Skaanes ⚽
M. Simba
114′
3–3 V. Sakor ⚽
116′
117′
⚽ S. Ibrahim 3–4
M. Wichmann
4–4 S. Nilsen ⚽
120′
5–4 M. Simba ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ D. Campos 5–5
6–5 M. Rasmussen ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ M. Wichmann 6–6
7–6 A. Heggebø ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ D. Arrocha 7–7
V. Sakor ❌
penalty missed
127′
Sivert Heltne Nilsen 🟨
127′
128′
❌ J. Norheim
penalty missed
8–7 S. Nilsen ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ E. Sandberg 8–8
9–8 K. Skaanes ⚽
131′
132′
⚽ Willis Furtado 9–9
10–9 O. Blomberg ⚽
133′
134′
⚽ F. Schröter 10–10
11–10 O. Kolskogen ⚽
135′
136′
⚽ J. Solli 11–11
R. Taylor ❌
penalty missed
137′
138′
⚽ S. Ibrahim 11–12
Full-time 11–12

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
28 L. Grill G
3 F. Knudsen D
4 O. Kolskogen D
18 D. Wolfe D
16 R. Taylor F
19 S. Nilsen M
9 P. Strand D
25 N. Jensen M
11 B. Finne F
7 M. Rasmussen M
20 A. Heggebø F
Bench (9)
14 M. Simba
27 R. Hove
2 O. Blomberg
15 K. Skaanes
5 V. Sakor
26 J. Sery
17 F. Delaveris
24 M. Pettersen
1 H. Opdal

Coach: E. Horneland

Jerv

3-4-3
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
14 D. Arrocha D
19 I. Mafi M
16 J. Norheim M
5 E. Sandberg D
2 T. Wichne M
4 K. Novak D
6 M. Wichmann M
7 Willis Furtado F
9 D. Campos F
39 Pibe F
Bench (8)
18 J. Solli
17 S. Ibrahim
8 T. Zernichow
11 F. Schröter
46 H. Krogelien
35 B. Kristiansen
30 A. Olsvoll
10 T. Kok

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.