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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Waregem
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 19/16 matches
Win Ø 51%
21%
81%
Points per game
0,9
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
79%
75%
Both score Ø 68%
79%
56%
Average goals
3,9
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 18. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 16 13 1 2 +29 40
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 16 10 4 2 +12 34
4 Kortrijk 20 8 7 5 +4 31
5 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
6 Antwerp 16 9 2 5 +9 29
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Eupen 19 7 4 8 +1 25
9 Cercle Brugge 21 7 4 10 +0 25
10 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
11 Mechelen 16 7 2 7 -3 23
12 Oostende 20 7 2 11 -17 23
13 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
14 St Truiden 20 6 3 11 -12 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 4 8 7 -8 20
16 Seraing 19 6 1 12 -15 19
17 Seraing United 19 6 1 12 -15 19
18 Waregem 19 4 5 10 -18 17
19 Beerschot VA 19 3 3 13 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem St. Gilloise
19′
D. Vanzeir 0–1
25′
🟨 Kaoru Mitoma
39′
C. Burgess 0–2
C. Nielsen
Half-time 0–2
50′
🟨 Christian Burgess
B. Srarfi 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
57′
D. Hubert 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
57′
C. Humphreys-Grant 🔁
↦ E. Pletinckx
64′
69′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ K. Mitoma
74′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
82′
82′
🔁 I. Ziani
↦ D. Vanzeir
82′
🔁 M. Sorinola
↦ L. Lapoussin
88′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
92′
🔁 G. François
↦ D. Undav
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
1 S. Bossut G
27 L. De Bock D
14 A. Ciranni D
24 E. Pletinckx D
19 D. Kutesa M
15 F. Boya D
98 I. Doumbia M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Z. Gano F
17 J. Dompé M
23 A. Fadera M
Bench (7)
11 B. Srarfi
6 D. Hubert
33 C. Humphreys-Grant
54 D. De Neve
67 L. Willen
57 W. De Buyser
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: F. Dury

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
25 D. Marcq
24 I. Ziani
7 M. Sorinola
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
90 F. Avenatti
8 L. Amani

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,65
U
5,01
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.