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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Leverkusen

U S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 53%

53%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

4,1

3,7

Scored

2,5

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 4

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Hoffenheim 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	13	1	2	+36	40
2	Dortmund	15	10	1	4	+13	31
3	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+13	27
4	Hoffenheim	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Freiburg	15	7	4	4	+11	25
6	Mainz	16	7	3	6	+9	24
7	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	6	4	+2	24
8	Union Berlin	15	6	5	4	+1	23
9	FC Koln	16	5	7	4	-1	22
10	RB Leipzig	15	6	3	6	+10	21
11	Wolfsburg	16	6	2	8	-8	20
12	Bochum	16	6	2	8	-9	20
13	M'gladbach	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-16	18
15	Stuttgart	16	4	5	7	-8	17
16	Augsburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Bielefeld	16	2	7	7	-10	13
18	Greuther Furth	15	1	1	13	-33	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	+19	21
2	Dortmund	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	RB Leipzig	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Mainz	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Hoffenheim	7	5	1	1	+10	16
7	FC Koln	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Bochum	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+1	14
10	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	+5	12
11	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Hertha	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Stuttgart	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	4	1	+3	10
15	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
16	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
17	Bielefeld	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	Greuther Furth	7	1	1	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+17	19
2	Leverkusen	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-1	10
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	FC Koln	8	1	4	3	-7	7
9	Hertha	9	2	1	6	-18	7
10	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	Mainz	7	2	0	5	-4	6
12	Stuttgart	7	1	3	3	-6	6
13	Augsburg	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Bochum	9	2	0	7	-14	6
15	Bielefeld	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	M'gladbach	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	RB Leipzig	7	0	3	4	-5	3
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	0	8	-25	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.