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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Genoa

U T S T U

0–2

Full-time

Milan

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

26%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

47%

Both score Ø 69%

74%

63%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 14. · Milan 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	17	2	0	+27	53
2	Napoli	20	15	2	3	+21	47
3	Inter	20	12	4	4	+17	40
4	Roma	20	9	6	5	+11	33
5	Lazio	20	9	5	6	+6	32
6	Atalanta	20	9	4	7	+17	31
7	Milan	19	8	7	4	+6	31
8	Sampdoria	20	8	6	6	+9	30
9	Parma	20	8	4	8	-5	28
10	Fiorentina	20	6	9	5	+7	27
11	Torino	20	6	9	5	+4	27
12	Sassuolo	20	6	8	6	-2	26
13	Cagliari	20	4	9	7	-8	21
14	Genoa	19	5	5	9	-10	20
15	Udinese	20	4	6	10	-8	18
16	Spal	20	4	6	10	-12	18
17	Empoli	20	4	5	11	-15	17
18	Bologna	20	2	8	10	-14	14
19	Chievo	19	1	8	10	-21	11
20	Frosinone	20	1	7	12	-30	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
7	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
9	Genoa	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
11	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
12	Sassuolo	10	3	5	2	-2	14
13	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Parma	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Empoli	10	4	1	5	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
19	Chievo	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+3	18
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
7	Lazio	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	+2	13
9	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Roma	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Milan	9	2	5	2	+2	11
12	Fiorentina	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Udinese	9	1	4	4	-2	7
14	Spal	10	2	1	7	-9	7
15	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Frosinone	10	1	2	7	-15	5
18	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-12	4
19	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4
20	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.