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Serie A

Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua

Genoa

T T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Spal

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

79%

36%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%

5 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 15. · Spal 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	14	1	0	+24	43
2	Napoli	15	11	2	2	+18	35
3	Inter	15	9	2	4	+14	29
4	Milan	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Lazio	15	7	4	4	+4	25
6	Atalanta	15	6	3	6	+9	21
7	Roma	15	5	6	4	+6	21
8	Torino	14	5	6	3	+3	21
9	Sassuolo	15	5	6	4	+2	21
10	Parma	15	6	3	6	-3	21
11	Sampdoria	15	5	5	5	+4	20
12	Fiorentina	15	4	7	4	+5	19
13	Cagliari	15	3	8	4	-4	17
14	Empoli	15	4	4	7	-7	16
15	Genoa	14	4	3	7	-10	15
16	Spal	14	4	2	8	-10	14
17	Udinese	15	3	4	8	-8	13
18	Bologna	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Frosinone	15	1	5	9	-22	8
20	Chievo	15	0	6	9	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Milan	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Fiorentina	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Sassuolo	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Empoli	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Roma	7	3	3	1	+7	12
10	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Sampdoria	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Cagliari	7	2	5	0	+3	11
13	Genoa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+7	10
15	Torino	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Spal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
19	Frosinone	7	0	4	3	-8	4
20	Chievo	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Inter	8	4	1	3	+3	13
4	Torino	7	2	5	0	+4	11
5	Atalanta	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Milan	7	2	3	2	+2	9
8	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	+1	9
9	Roma	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Parma	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Udinese	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Fiorentina	8	0	5	3	-3	5
16	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-11	4
17	Frosinone	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Empoli	7	0	3	4	-8	3
19	Bologna	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Chievo	7	0	3	4	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.