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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Lazio
S S T U T
2–0
Full-time
Udinese
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
45%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 8. · Udinese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 32 20 7 5 +33 67
3 Inter 32 18 6 8 +24 60
4 Milan 32 15 10 7 +16 55
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 32 15 8 9 +23 53
7 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
8 Lazio 31 14 7 10 +11 49
9 Sampdoria 32 14 6 12 +12 48
10 Fiorentina 32 8 16 8 +7 40
11 Sassuolo 32 8 13 11 -5 37
12 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
13 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Parma 32 9 8 15 -17 35
15 Genoa 32 8 10 14 -16 34
16 Udinese 31 8 8 15 -14 32
17 Bologna 32 7 10 15 -16 31
18 Empoli 32 7 8 17 -19 29
19 Frosinone 32 5 8 19 -33 23
20 Chievo 32 1 11 20 -45 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
1–0 F. Caicedo
C. Immobile
21′
1–1 Sandro
own goal
24′
Luiz Felipe 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ S. Ingelsson
58′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ E. Agyemang-Badu
M. Badelj 🔁
↦ F. Caicedo
68′
74′
🔁 S. De Maio
↦ R. de Paul
Lucas Leiva 🟨
78′
Bruno Jordão 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
79′
Wallace 🔁
↦ Luiz Felipe
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
3 Luiz Felipe D
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
27 Rômulo M
16 M. Parolo M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
20 F. Caicedo F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
25 M. Badelj
66 Bruno Jordão
13 Wallace
24 S. Proto
32 D. Cataldi
26 Ş. Radu
14 R. Durmisi
77 A. Marušić
30 Pedro Neto
71 Luan Capanni
15 Bastos
23 G. Guerrieri

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Udinese

3-5-1-1
1 J. Musso G
90 M. Zeegelaar D
19 J. Larsen D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
24 B. Wilmot D
30 Sandro M
8 E. Agyemang-Badu M
10 R. de Paul M
38 R. Mandragora M
13 S. Ingelsson M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (10)
77 M. D'Alessandro
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
87 S. De Maio
7 S. Okaka
14 P. Mićin
17 B. Nuytinck
27 S. Perisan
88 Nicolas
3 Samir
20 E. Hallfreðsson

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.