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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Udinese
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Lazio
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 8. · Lazio 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 5 5 0 0 +7 15
2 Napoli 5 4 0 1 +2 12
3 Fiorentina 6 3 1 2 +7 10
4 Sassuolo 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Inter 6 3 1 2 +3 10
6 Lazio 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Spal 5 3 0 2 +0 9
8 Udinese 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Sampdoria 5 2 1 2 +6 7
10 Parma 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Genoa 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Atalanta 5 1 2 2 +1 5
13 Milan 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Roma 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Torino 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Cagliari 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Empoli 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 Bologna 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 Chievo 5 0 2 3 -8 2
20 Frosinone 5 0 1 4 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Lazio
42′
🟨 Senad Lulić
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 R. Durmisi
↦ S. Lulić
56′
🔁 C. Immobile
↦ F. Caicedo
61′
F. Acerbi 0–1
66′
J. Correa 0–2
R. Durmisi
I. Pussetto 🔁
↦ D. Machís
67′
Ł. Teodorczyk 🔁
↦ A. Barák
73′
75′
🔁 Bastos
↦ Luiz Felipe
80′
🟨 Ciro Immobile
1–2 B. Nuytinck
R. de Paul
80′
Ignacio Pussetto 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Milan Badelj
86′
🟨 Bastos
Felipe Vizeu 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
86′
89′
🟨 Riza Durmisi
William Troost-Ekong 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Thomas Strakosha
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

4-4-1-1
22 S. Scuffet G
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
72 A. Barák M
38 R. Mandragora M
16 D. Machís M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
23 I. Pussetto
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
9 Felipe Vizeu
1 J. Musso
2 M. Wagué
4 N. Opoku
7 G. Pezzella
11 V. Behrami
18 H. ter Avest
21 S. Pontisso
77 M. D'Alessandro
88 Nicolas

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Lazio

3-5-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
13 Wallace D
3 Luiz Felipe D
19 S. Lulić M
25 M. Badelj M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto F
11 J. Correa M
20 F. Caicedo F
Bench (12)
14 R. Durmisi
17 C. Immobile
15 Bastos
6 Lucas Leiva
7 Valon Berisha
8 D. Basta
21 S. Milinković-Savić
22 M. Cáceres
23 G. Guerrieri
32 D. Cataldi
77 A. Marušić
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.