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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Lazio
U S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Udinese
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 55%
65%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
85%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
3,9
3,1
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 3. · Udinese 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 17 3 1 +32 54
2 Juventus 21 17 2 2 +35 53
3 Lazio 20 13 4 3 +28 43
4 Inter 21 12 7 2 +20 43
5 Roma 20 12 4 4 +16 40
6 Sampdoria 20 10 3 7 +9 33
7 Milan 21 9 4 8 -1 31
8 Atalanta 21 8 6 7 +4 30
9 Udinese 20 9 2 9 +6 29
10 Torino 21 6 11 4 +1 29
11 Fiorentina 21 7 7 7 +6 28
12 Bologna 21 8 3 10 -4 27
13 Chievo 21 5 7 9 -16 22
14 Sassuolo 21 6 4 11 -17 22
15 Genoa 21 5 6 10 -7 21
16 Cagliari 21 6 2 13 -14 20
17 Crotone 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Spal 21 3 7 11 -17 16
19 Verona 21 3 4 14 -26 13
20 Benevento 21 2 1 18 -33 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
15′
🟨 Stipe Perica
0–1 Samir
own goal
22′
45′
🟨 Samir
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Nani
Felipe Anderson
47′
55′
🔁 R. de Paul
↦ A. Barák
64′
🔁 J. Jankto
↦ S. Perica
S. Lulić 🔁
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
65′
Luis Alberto 🔁
↦ Nani
72′
79′
🔁 A. Balić
↦ E. Hallfreðsson
A. Murgia 🔁
↦ M. Parolo
86′
2–1 Felipe Anderson
S. Lulić
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
5 J. Lukaku D
13 Wallace D
6 Lucas Leiva M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Felipe Anderson M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
7 Nani M
Bench (12)
19 S. Lulić
18 Luis Alberto
96 A. Murgia
27 Luiz Felipe
22 M. Cáceres
66 Bruno Jordão
25 I. Vargić
4 Patric
15 Bastos
23 G. Guerrieri
77 A. Marušić
20 F. Caicedo

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Udinese

3-5-2
1 A. Bizzarri G
5 Danilo D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
97 G. Pezzella M
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
6 S. Fofana M
72 A. Barák M
20 M. López F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (11)
10 R. de Paul
14 J. Jankto
99 A. Balić
4 G. Angella
63 A. Caiazza
22 S. Scuffet
21 S. Pontisso
13 S. Ingelsson
64 A. Donadello
66 N. Jaadi
67 S. Pizzignacco

Coach: M. Oddo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.