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Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Guingamp
T T T
2–0
Full-time
Marseille
T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Marseille 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Marseille 3 1 0 2 +4 3
14 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Troyes 3 0 2 1 -6 2
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Guingamp 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Marseille
2′
🟨 Lassana Diarra
15′
🟨 Benjamin Mendy
Reynald Lemaître 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Romain Alessandrini
63′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
64′
🔁 L. Ocampos
↦ A. Barrada
1–0 S. Privat ⚽
J. Briand
72′
74′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ S. Privat
77′
L. Mathis 🔁
↦ M. Diallo
77′
77′
🔁 B. Sarr
↦ R. Cabella
82′
🔁 S. Sparagna
↦ L. Diarra
83′
🟨 Stephane Sparagna
2–0 N. Benezet ⚽
L. Mathis
89′
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ M. Coco
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

1 J. Lössl G
25 R. Lemaître
2 L. Jacobsen D
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
5 M. Diallo M
13 Y. Sankhare M
10 N. Benezet M
24 M. Coco M
23 J. Briand F
11 S. Privat F
Bench (7)
9 M. Dembélé
18 L. Mathis
12 N. De Pauw
4 B. Angoua
19 Y. Salibur
17 J. Bègue
30 M. Samassa

Marseille

30 S. Mandanda G
3 N. N'Koulou D
4 K. Rekik D
23 B. Mendy D
2 Javi Manquillo D
10 L. Diarra M
11 R. Alessandrini M
19 A. Barrada M
13 R. Cabella M
8 M. Lemina M
22 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (7)
7 L. Ocampos
17 B. Sarr
15 S. Sparagna
6 Doria
16 Y. Pelé
20 A. Romao
29 A. Anguissa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.