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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Willem II
U T U
0–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 4
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 14. · Nijmegen 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Den Haag 3 1 2 0 +3 5
7 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Vitesse 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nijmegen 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Willem II 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Twente 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Nijmegen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Breinburg
↦ J. Sleegers
59′
🟨 Christian Santos
61′
🔁 K. Emilsson
↦ M. Rayhi
64′
⚽ N. Foor 0–1
R. van Eijden
L. Andersen 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
71′
Funso Ojo 🟨
76′
R. Zivkovic 🔁
↦ D. Koppers
78′
J. Mathieu 🔁
↦ N. van der Velden
82′
85′
🔁 L. Woudenberg
↦ M. Ritzmaier
Frank van der Struijk 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
5 D. Koppers D
15 D. Wuytens D
17 R. Braber M
23 N. van der Velden
10 E. Falkenburg F
29 S. Wuytens D
6 F. Ojo M
19 L. de Sa F
Bench (7)
18 L. Andersen
9 R. Zivkovic
22 J. Mathieu
21 D. Meul
8 R. Haemhouts
2 R. Ligeon
24 G. Joppen

Nijmegen

1 H. Halldórsson G
3 R. van Eijden D
5 B. Buysse
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
25 N. Foor M
20 M. Rayhi F
9 J. Sleegers M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
Bench (7)
8 G. Breinburg
14 K. Emilsson
15 L. Woudenberg
7 S. Lundholm
37 J. Leiwakabessy
26 M. van Duin
6 T. Daemen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.