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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
6–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 18. · Troyes 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Troyes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Marseille 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Guingamp 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Troyes
1–0 A. Barrada
19′
Mario Lemina 🟨
28′
34′
🔁 Q. Othon
↦ Y. Court
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Diarra
A. Barrada
47′
3–0 M. Batshuayi
R. Cabella
56′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ A. Barrada
59′
59′
🔁 B. Nivet
↦ M. Koné
4–0 L. Ocampos
R. Alessandrini
63′
S. Sparagna 🔁
↦ L. Diarra
65′
68′
🔁 B. Perea
↦ T. Ayasse
69′
🟨 Brayan Perea
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ R. Cabella
76′
5–0 R. Alessandrini
M. Batshuayi
87′
6–0 M. Batshuayi
R. Alessandrini
90′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Marseille

30 S. Mandanda G
3 N. N'Koulou D
4 K. Rekik D
23 B. Mendy D
2 Javi Manquillo D
10 L. Diarra M
11 R. Alessandrini M
19 A. Barrada M
13 R. Cabella M
8 M. Lemina M
22 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (7)
7 L. Ocampos
15 S. Sparagna
17 B. Sarr
6 Doria
14 G. N'Koudou
16 Y. Pelé
29 A. Anguissa

Troyes

30 D. Petric
6 J. Martins-Pereira D
5 M. Saunier D
22 M. Koné D
23 F. Camus M
8 S. Darbion M
24 L. Karaboué M
4 T. Ayasse M
7 Y. Court M
25 J. Pi M
27 C. Jean F
Bench (7)
29 Q. Othon
10 B. Nivet
13 B. Perea
14 Thiago Xavier
19 K. Azamoum
21 J. Cabot
40 P. Bernardoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.