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Ligue 1

Referee: Frank Schneider

Lille

T U U U T

1–0

Full-time

St Etienne

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

13%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

53%

Both score Ø 37%

33%

40%

Average goals

1,3

2,6

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 19. · St Etienne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	3	0	+29	42
2	Caen	16	9	2	5	+3	29
3	Angers	16	7	6	3	+5	27
4	Lyon	16	7	5	4	+7	26
5	Nice	16	7	4	5	+11	25
6	St Etienne	15	8	1	6	+1	25
7	Monaco	16	6	7	3	+0	25
8	Lorient	16	5	7	4	+3	22
9	Rennes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
10	Nantes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Marseille	15	5	4	6	+6	19
12	Reims	16	5	4	7	-3	19
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	16	5	4	7	-3	19
14	Guingamp	16	5	4	7	-6	19
15	Montpellier	16	5	3	8	-3	18
16	Bastia	16	5	3	8	-5	18
17	Bordeaux	16	4	6	6	-6	18
18	Toulouse	16	3	6	7	-11	15
19	Lille	15	2	8	5	-3	14
20	Troyes	16	0	5	11	-25	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	St Etienne	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Caen	8	5	1	2	+0	16
4	Lorient	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Bastia	8	5	0	3	+4	15
6	Lyon	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Angers	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Montpellier	9	4	0	5	-1	12
11	Reims	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Nantes	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Nice	7	3	1	3	+6	10
14	Toulouse	7	2	4	1	+2	10
15	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-2	10
16	Marseille	8	2	3	3	+6	9
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	+1	9
18	Rennes	7	2	3	2	-1	9
19	Lille	7	2	2	3	+0	8
20	Troyes	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Monaco	8	4	3	1	+2	15
4	Rennes	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Caen	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Angers	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Marseille	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	St Etienne	7	3	0	4	-5	9
12	Reims	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Lorient	7	1	4	2	-3	7
14	Guingamp	8	2	1	5	-9	7
15	Montpellier	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Lille	8	0	6	2	-3	6
17	Toulouse	9	1	2	6	-13	5
18	Bordeaux	8	0	4	4	-9	4
19	Bastia	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Troyes	7	0	1	6	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.