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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Montpellier

S U S S S

0–2

Full-time

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Gazelec FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

47%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 13. · Gazelec FC Ajaccio 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	3	0	+29	42
2	Caen	15	9	1	5	+3	28
3	Angers	16	7	6	3	+5	27
4	Lyon	16	7	5	4	+7	26
5	Nice	16	7	4	5	+11	25
6	St Etienne	15	8	1	6	+1	25
7	Monaco	15	6	6	3	+0	24
8	Lorient	16	5	7	4	+3	22
9	Rennes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
10	Nantes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Marseille	15	5	4	6	+6	19
12	Guingamp	15	5	4	6	-5	19
13	Montpellier	15	5	3	7	-1	18
14	Bordeaux	15	4	6	5	-5	18
15	Reims	15	4	4	7	-4	16
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	4	4	7	-5	16
17	Bastia	15	4	3	8	-6	15
18	Lille	15	2	8	5	-3	14
19	Toulouse	15	2	6	7	-14	12
20	Troyes	15	0	5	10	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	St Etienne	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Caen	8	5	1	2	+0	16
4	Lorient	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Angers	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Bastia	7	4	0	3	+3	12
10	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	+1	12
11	Reims	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Nantes	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Nice	7	3	1	3	+6	10
14	Toulouse	7	2	4	1	+2	10
15	Marseille	8	2	3	3	+6	9
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	+1	9
17	Rennes	7	2	3	2	-1	9
18	Monaco	7	2	3	2	-2	9
19	Lille	7	2	2	3	+0	8
20	Troyes	8	0	4	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Monaco	8	4	3	1	+2	15
4	Rennes	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Angers	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Caen	7	4	0	3	+3	12
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Marseille	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	St Etienne	7	3	0	4	-5	9
11	Lorient	7	1	4	2	-3	7
12	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Guingamp	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	Montpellier	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Lille	8	0	6	2	-3	6
16	Reims	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Bordeaux	7	0	4	3	-8	4
18	Bastia	8	0	3	5	-9	3
19	Toulouse	8	0	2	6	-16	2
20	Troyes	7	0	1	6	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.