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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Lannoy

Caen

U T T T S

2–0

Full-time

Nice

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

45%

59%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

24% Possession 76%

9 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 15

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 7. · Nice 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	19	3	0	+46	60
2	Monaco	23	10	9	4	+5	39
3	Angers	23	10	7	6	+6	37
4	Nice	22	10	6	6	+11	36
5	Rennes	22	8	10	4	+7	34
6	St Etienne	22	10	3	9	+0	33
7	Caen	22	10	3	9	-4	33
8	Nantes	23	8	8	7	-1	32
9	Marseille	23	7	10	6	+9	31
10	Lyon	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Lorient	23	7	9	7	+0	30
12	Bordeaux	22	7	9	6	-3	30
13	Bastia	23	8	4	11	-5	28
14	Guingamp	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Lille	23	5	11	7	-1	26
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	23	6	8	9	-7	26
17	Montpellier	23	7	4	12	-2	25
18	Reims	23	5	8	10	-9	23
19	Toulouse	23	4	8	11	-16	20
20	Troyes	23	1	8	14	-29	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+27	28
2	Bastia	12	8	0	4	+7	24
3	St Etienne	11	7	2	2	+8	23
4	Angers	12	5	6	1	+7	21
5	Bordeaux	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Nice	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Lorient	12	5	4	3	+6	19
8	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
9	Monaco	11	4	5	2	+3	17
10	Guingamp	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Nantes	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Caen	11	5	1	5	-6	16
13	Lille	11	4	3	4	+2	15
14	Montpellier	12	5	0	7	-2	15
15	Reims	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Rennes	11	3	5	3	-1	14
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	11	3	5	3	-2	14
18	Marseille	12	2	7	3	+6	13
19	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-1	11
20	Troyes	13	0	6	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Monaco	12	6	4	2	+2	22
3	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+8	20
4	Marseille	11	5	3	3	+3	18
5	Nice	11	4	5	2	+5	17
6	Caen	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Angers	11	5	1	5	-1	16
8	Nantes	12	4	4	4	-1	16
9	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	12	3	3	6	-5	12
10	Lyon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Lille	12	1	8	3	-3	11
12	Lorient	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	Guingamp	12	3	2	7	-10	11
14	Montpellier	11	2	4	5	+0	10
15	St Etienne	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Bordeaux	11	1	6	4	-8	9
17	Reims	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Toulouse	12	2	3	7	-15	9
19	Troyes	10	1	2	7	-18	5
20	Bastia	11	0	4	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.