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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Las Palmas

S U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Celta

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 34%

19%

48%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Las Palmas 19. · Celta 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	16	3	2	+37	51
2	Ath Madrid	22	15	3	4	+21	48
3	Real Madrid	21	13	5	3	+38	44
4	Villarreal	22	13	5	4	+11	44
5	Sevilla	22	10	6	6	+8	36
6	Ath Bilbao	22	10	4	8	+3	34
7	Celta	21	10	4	7	-1	34
8	Eibar	22	9	6	7	+7	33
9	La Coruna	21	6	11	4	+3	29
10	Malaga	22	7	6	9	-2	27
11	Getafe	22	7	5	10	-6	26
12	Valencia	22	5	10	7	+3	25
13	Sociedad	22	6	6	10	-8	24
14	Espanol	21	6	4	11	-15	22
15	Betis	22	5	7	10	-16	22
16	Sp Gijon	21	6	3	12	-12	21
17	Granada	22	5	5	12	-20	20
18	Vallecano	21	5	4	12	-19	19
19	Las Palmas	21	4	6	11	-12	18
20	Levante	22	4	5	13	-20	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Sevilla	12	10	0	2	+14	30
3	Villarreal	12	9	2	1	+11	29
4	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
5	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+7	23
6	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	Ath Bilbao	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
11	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
12	Malaga	10	4	3	3	+4	15
13	Sociedad	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	La Coruna	10	3	5	2	+5	14
16	Vallecano	11	4	2	5	-2	14
17	Levante	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	8	1	3	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	12	4	3	5	-7	15
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	-8	14
9	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Malaga	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Sp Gijon	12	3	1	8	-13	10
12	Valencia	11	2	3	6	-3	9
13	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
14	Granada	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	Sevilla	10	0	6	4	-6	6
16	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
17	Getafe	10	1	2	7	-15	5
18	Levante	11	1	2	8	-15	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.