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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Paris SG

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Lorient

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 59%

87%

30%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 52%

39%

65%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,4

Conceded

0,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lorient 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	23	20	3	0	+48	63
2	Monaco	24	11	9	4	+7	42
3	Nice	24	11	6	7	+10	39
4	Angers	24	10	7	7	+5	37
5	Caen	24	11	3	10	-3	36
6	Nantes	24	9	8	7	+1	35
7	Marseille	24	8	10	6	+10	34
8	Rennes	23	8	10	5	+3	34
9	Lyon	24	9	6	9	+4	33
10	Bordeaux	24	8	9	7	-2	33
11	St Etienne	23	10	3	10	-2	33
12	Lorient	23	7	9	7	+0	30
13	Guingamp	24	8	6	10	-4	30
14	Lille	24	6	11	7	+0	29
15	Bastia	24	8	4	12	-7	28
16	Reims	24	6	8	10	-8	26
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	24	6	8	10	-9	26
18	Montpellier	24	7	4	13	-3	25
19	Toulouse	24	4	8	12	-17	20
20	Troyes	24	1	8	15	-33	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+27	28
2	Bordeaux	12	7	3	2	+9	24
3	Bastia	12	8	0	4	+7	24
4	St Etienne	12	7	2	3	+6	23
5	Nice	12	7	1	4	+7	22
6	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+10	21
7	Angers	12	5	6	1	+7	21
8	Monaco	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Lorient	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Nantes	12	5	4	3	+2	19
12	Caen	12	6	1	5	-4	19
13	Lille	12	5	3	4	+3	18
14	Reims	13	4	5	4	+1	17
15	Montpellier	13	5	0	8	-3	15
16	Rennes	11	3	5	3	-1	14
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	11	3	5	3	-2	14
18	Marseille	12	2	7	3	+6	13
19	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-1	11
20	Troyes	13	0	6	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+21	35
2	Monaco	12	6	4	2	+2	22
3	Marseille	12	6	3	3	+4	21
4	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+4	20
5	Nice	12	4	5	3	+3	17
6	Caen	12	5	2	5	+1	17
7	Nantes	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	Angers	12	5	1	6	-2	16
9	Lyon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	3	7	-7	12
11	Lille	12	1	8	3	-3	11
12	Lorient	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	Guingamp	12	3	2	7	-10	11
14	Montpellier	11	2	4	5	+0	10
15	St Etienne	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Reims	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Bordeaux	12	1	6	5	-11	9
18	Toulouse	13	2	3	8	-16	9
19	Troyes	11	1	2	8	-22	5
20	Bastia	12	0	4	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.