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Serie A

Referee: Carmine Russo

Juventus

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

68%

27%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

55%

32%

Both score Ø 41%

45%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

6 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 2. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	22	15	5	2	+31	50
2	Juventus	22	15	3	4	+27	48
3	Fiorentina	22	13	3	6	+18	42
4	Roma	23	11	8	4	+17	41
5	Inter	22	12	5	5	+9	41
6	Milan	22	10	6	6	+7	36
7	Sassuolo	23	8	9	6	+0	33
8	Lazio	22	9	5	8	-1	32
9	Empoli	22	9	5	8	-3	32
10	Bologna	23	9	2	12	-3	29
11	Torino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
12	Chievo	22	7	6	9	-3	27
13	Atalanta	22	7	6	9	-3	27
14	Palermo	22	7	4	11	-11	25
15	Udinese	22	7	4	11	-16	25
16	Genoa	22	6	6	10	-3	24
17	Sampdoria	22	6	5	11	-6	23
18	Carpi	22	4	7	11	-16	19
19	Frosinone	23	5	4	14	-24	19
20	Verona	22	0	11	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Fiorentina	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Roma	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+11	23
5	Milan	11	7	2	2	+7	23
6	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+9	21
7	Inter	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Torino	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Sampdoria	11	5	2	4	+4	17
11	Genoa	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+0	17
13	Frosinone	12	5	2	5	-4	17
14	Empoli	10	4	2	4	+1	14
15	Bologna	12	4	2	6	+0	14
16	Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
17	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-1	13
18	Carpi	12	3	4	5	-2	13
19	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-8	12
20	Verona	11	0	5	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	8	1	3	+16	25
2	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+13	21
3	Inter	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Empoli	12	5	3	4	-4	18
5	Roma	12	4	5	3	+4	17
6	Fiorentina	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Bologna	11	5	0	6	-3	15
9	Chievo	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Milan	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Lazio	11	3	2	6	-10	11
13	Palermo	11	3	2	6	-10	11
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Genoa	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-10	6
18	Verona	11	0	6	5	-10	6
19	Carpi	10	1	3	6	-14	6
20	Frosinone	11	0	2	9	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.