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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
Caen
T T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
46%
51%
Both score Ø 53%
46%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 8. · Bordeaux 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 6 2 +79 93
2 Lyon 37 19 8 10 +27 65
3 Monaco 37 16 14 7 +5 62
4 Nice 37 17 9 11 +16 60
5 St Etienne 37 17 7 13 +6 58
6 Lille 37 14 15 8 +11 57
7 Rennes 37 13 13 11 -1 52
8 Caen 37 15 6 16 -14 51
9 Angers 37 13 11 13 +3 50
10 Bordeaux 37 12 14 11 -6 50
11 Montpellier 37 14 7 16 +4 49
12 Nantes 37 12 12 13 -7 48
13 Marseille 37 10 17 10 +6 47
14 Bastia 37 13 8 16 -7 47
15 Guingamp 37 11 11 15 -8 44
16 Lorient 37 10 13 14 -12 43
17 Toulouse 37 8 13 16 -11 37
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 37 8 13 16 -20 37
19 Reims 37 9 9 19 -16 36
20 Troyes 37 3 8 26 -55 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Nov -15 Bordeaux – Caen 1–4

Match report

Caen Bordeaux
1–0 A. Delort
14′
15′
🟨 Jaroslav Plašil
15′
🟨 Diego Contento
Jeff Louis 🟨
25′
28′
🟨 Nicolas Pallois
40′
🔁 R. Maulun
↦ Pablo
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 E. Crivelli
↦ C. Diabaté
72′
🟨 Enzo Crivelli
I. Diomandé 🔁
↦ N. Seube
77′
M. Nkololo 🔁
↦ J. Louis
80′
84′
🔁 T. Touré
↦ L. Sané
A. Raineau 🔁
↦ A. Delort
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Caen

1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
12 D. Appiah D
2 N. Seube M
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
18 J. Adéoti M
23 R. Rodelin F
9 A. Delort F
14 J. Louis M
Bench (7)
4 I. Diomandé
8 M. Nkololo
22 A. Raineau
10 S. Ntibazonkiza
19 J. Leborgne
30 P. Reulet
33 V. Voisin

Bordeaux

30 J. Prior G
3 D. Contento D
6 L. Sané D
5 N. Pallois D
4 Pablo D
26 F. Guilbert D
18 J. Plašil M
23 V. Vada M
14 C. Diabaté F
9 D. Rolan F
25 Malcom F
Bench (7)
33 R. Maulun
27 E. Crivelli
13 T. Touré
1 P. Bernardoni
17 A. Biyogo Poko
21 C. Yamberé
29 M. Poundjé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.