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Pro League
Oostende
T U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 27/25 matches
Win Ø 52%
48%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 61%
70%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oostende 5. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 21 1 5 +47 64
2 Anderlecht 27 16 7 4 +18 55
3 Gent 27 15 7 5 +20 52
4 Genk 25 14 3 8 +15 45
5 Oostende 27 13 6 8 +9 45
6 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
7 Charleroi 27 11 7 9 +7 40
8 Kortrijk 29 10 9 10 +0 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
11 Waregem 27 9 6 12 -3 33
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -16 Genk – Oostende 4–0

Match report

Oostende Genk
25′
T. Buffel 0–1
Pozuelo
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Samatta
1–1 K. Musona
Y. El Ghanassy
71′
78′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ L. Bailey
F. Antunes 🔁
↦ B. Godeau
81′
Z. Cyriac 🔁
↦ J. Akpala
87′
87′
🔁 Y. Buyens
↦ N. Kebano
2–1 J. Lukaku
K. Musona
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
3 N. De Schutter
5 J. Lukaku
31 B. Godeau
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
15 A. Jali
17 J. Akpala
8 Y. El Ghanassy
11 K. Musona
Bench (7)
4 F. Antunes
9 Z. Cyriac
19 N. Pedersen
20 M. Jonckheere
25 W. Biebauw
30 S. Godwin
55 Fernando Canesin

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
11 I. de Camargo
71 Y. Buyens
4 B. Hamalainen
8 B. Kumordzi
15 D. Wouters
26 L. Köteles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.