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Ligue 1
Referee: Fredy Fautrel
Angers
U S U T T
2–3
Full-time
Toulouse
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
32%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
32%
51%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
6 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 9. · Toulouse 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 6 2 +79 93
2 Lyon 37 19 8 10 +27 65
3 Monaco 37 16 14 7 +5 62
4 Nice 37 17 9 11 +16 60
5 St Etienne 37 17 7 13 +6 58
6 Lille 37 14 15 8 +11 57
7 Rennes 37 13 13 11 -1 52
8 Caen 37 15 6 16 -14 51
9 Angers 37 13 11 13 +3 50
10 Bordeaux 37 12 14 11 -6 50
11 Montpellier 37 14 7 16 +4 49
12 Nantes 37 12 12 13 -7 48
13 Marseille 37 10 17 10 +6 47
14 Bastia 37 13 8 16 -7 47
15 Guingamp 37 11 11 15 -8 44
16 Lorient 37 10 13 14 -12 43
17 Toulouse 37 8 13 16 -11 37
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 37 8 13 16 -20 37
19 Reims 37 9 9 19 -16 36
20 Troyes 37 3 8 26 -55 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Toulouse – Angers 1–2

Match report

Angers Toulouse
Arnold Bouka Moutou 🟨
2′
1–0 V. Ketkeophomphone
12′
Half-time 1–0
C. Diers 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
53′
57′
🔁 O. Trejo
↦ Somália
59′
W. Ben Yedder 1–1
O. Trejo
S. Benrahma 🔁
↦ G. Sunu
62′
2–1 S. Benrahma
C. N'Doye
63′
66′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ E. Didot
Grégory Bourillon 🟨
69′
72′
🔁 P. Ninkov
↦ A. Regattin
74′
🟨 Steeve Yago
Mohamed Yattara 🟨
75′
78′
M. Braithwaite 2–2
P. Ninkov
Romain Saïss 🟨
79′
80′
Y. Bodiger 2–3
O. Auriac 🔁
↦ M. Yattara
86′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Angers

30 A. Letellier G
8 I. Traoré D
2 G. Angoula D
3 A. Bouka Moutou D
6 G. Bourillon D
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
28 R. Saïss M
10 G. Sunu F
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
9 M. Yattara F
Bench (7)
20 C. Diers
25 S. Benrahma
7 O. Auriac
33 A. Laidouni
1 D. Petric
21 Y. Andreu
27 F. Doré

Toulouse

40 A. Lafont G
29 F. Moubandje D
26 M. Tisserand D
3 J. Kana-Biyik D
20 S. Yago D
5 I. Diop D
8 E. Didot M
19 Somália M
17 A. Regattin M
9 M. Braithwaite F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
18 O. Trejo
23 Y. Bodiger
24 P. Ninkov
1 M. Goicoechea
7 J. Akpa Akpro
14 P. Sirieix
27 A. Blin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fredy Fautrel · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
6,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.