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Ligue 1

Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry

Nice

S T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Troyes

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

20 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 14. · Troyes 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.