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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoit Millot
Rennes
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Lyon
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 12. · Lyon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Lille 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Metz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lyon
9′
🟨 Fernando Marçal
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–1
57′
M. Depay 0–1
61′
🔁 K. Tete
↦ Rafael
J. Tell 🔁
↦ Ludovic Baal
66′
68′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
74′
M. Díaz 0–2
N. Fekir
80′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ M. Depay
83′
🟨 Sergi Darder
1–2 B. Bourigeaud
86′
87′
🔁 M. Diakhaby
↦ Marcelo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
1 A. Diallo G
24 Ludovic Baal D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
5 J. Gnagnon D
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 F. Maouassa D
9 N. Mubele F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
19 J. Tell
11 Brandon
12 J. Lea Siliki
23 A. Hunou
29 R. Danzé
30 E. Gertmonas
35 N. Janvier

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
6 Marcelo D
4 Rafael D
20 Fernando Marçal D
14 Sergi Darder M
29 L. Tousart M
10 B. Traoré F
11 M. Depay F
9 M. Díaz F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
23 K. Tete
27 M. Cornet
5 M. Diakhaby
7 C. Grenier
12 J. Ferri
30 M. Gorgelin
17 M. Maolida

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benoit Millot · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.