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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Arsenal
S S S S S
4–3
Full-time
Leicester
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

70% Possession 30%
27 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -17 Arsenal – Leicester 1–0 20. Aug -16 Leicester – Arsenal 0–0 14. Feb -16 Arsenal – Leicester 2–1 26. Sep -15 Leicester – Arsenal 2–5

Match report

Arsenal Leicester
1–0 A. Lacazette ⚽
Mohamed Elneny
2′
5′
⚽ S. Okazaki 1–1
H. Maguire
29′
⚽ J. Vardy 1–2
M. Albrighton
Half-time 2–2
2–2 D. Welbeck ⚽
S. Kolašinac
47′
56′
⚽ J. Vardy 2–3
R. Mahrez
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ Mohamed Elneny
67′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ R. Holding
67′
72′
🔁 D. Amartey
↦ S. Okazaki
T. Walcott 🔁
↦ D. Welbeck
75′
82′
🔁 K. Iheanacho
↦ M. James
3–3 A. Ramsey ⚽
G. Xhaka
83′
4–3 O. Giroud ⚽
G. Xhaka
85′
88′
🔁 D. Gray
↦ M. Albrighton
90′
🟨 Wes Morgan
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Arsenal

3-4-2-1
33 P. Čech G
18 Nacho Monreal D
31 S. Kolašinac D
24 Bellerín M
16 R. Holding D
11 M. Özil F
29 G. Xhaka M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
35 Mohamed Elneny M
23 D. Welbeck F
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
8 A. Ramsey
12 O. Giroud
14 T. Walcott
13 D. Ospina
17 A. Iwobi
20 S. Mustafi
34 F. Coquelin

Coach: A. Wenger

Leicester

4-4-1-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
28 C. Fuchs D
2 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
15 H. Maguire D
22 M. James M
11 M. Albrighton M
26 R. Mahrez M
25 W. Ndidi M
20 S. Okazaki F
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
18 D. Amartey
8 K. Iheanacho
7 D. Gray
3 B. Chilwell
10 A. King
12 B. Hamer
19 I. Slimani

Coach: C. Shakespeare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.