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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Rennes
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 26
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 13. · Bordeaux 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 11 9 2 0 +26 29
2 Monaco 11 8 1 2 +16 25
3 Lyon 11 6 4 1 +12 22
4 Marseille 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Nantes 11 6 2 3 +1 20
6 St Etienne 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Caen 11 6 0 5 +0 18
8 Bordeaux 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Montpellier 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 -4 15
11 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 -2 14
12 Angers 11 2 7 2 +2 13
13 Rennes 11 3 3 5 -2 12
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Troyes 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Nice 11 3 1 7 -6 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -6 10
18 Strasbourg 11 2 4 5 -7 10
19 Lille 10 1 3 6 -9 6
20 Metz 11 1 0 10 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Bordeaux
0–1 J. Toulalan
own goal
11′
41′
🟨 Otávio
Afonso Figueiredo 🔁
↦ Ludovic Baal
42′
Benjamin André 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
J. Gelin 🔁
↦ R. Bensebaini
46′
46′
🔁 F. Kamano
↦ V. Vada
46′
🔁 Y. Sankharé
↦ J. Plašil
47′
🟨 François Kamano
R. Danzé 🔁
↦ H. Traoré
55′
68′
🟨 Nicolas de Préville
70′
🟨 Vukašin Jovanović
70′
🔁 Jonathan Cafú
↦ N. de Préville
Wahbi Khazri 🟨
80′
90′
🟨 Younousse Sankharé
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
40 T. Koubek G
24 Ludovic Baal D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
5 J. Gnagnon D
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
17 F. Maouassa D
8 W. Khazri F
9 N. Mubele F
Bench (7)
25 Afonso Figueiredo
26 J. Gelin
29 R. Danzé
33 S. Salles Lamonge
1 A. Diallo
11 Brandon
23 A. Hunou

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
20 Y. Sabaly D
2 M. Gajić D
4 V. Jovanović D
5 Otávio M
18 J. Plašil M
14 J. Toulalan D
23 V. Vada M
12 N. de Préville F
15 A. Mendy F
7 Malcom F
Bench (7)
11 F. Kamano
13 Y. Sankharé
22 Jonathan Cafú
6 I. Lewczuk
17 Matheus Pereira
21 T. Pellenard
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.