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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Guingamp
S T S T U
2–0
Full-time
Rennes
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
9 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Rennes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 +23 25
2 Monaco 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Lyon 9 4 4 1 +5 16
4 Marseille 8 5 1 2 +3 16
5 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +1 16
6 Caen 8 5 0 3 +3 15
7 Bordeaux 8 4 3 1 +2 15
8 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
9 Troyes 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Nice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
11 Guingamp 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Angers 8 1 6 1 +1 9
13 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -6 8
15 Rennes 8 1 3 4 -2 6
16 Amiens 7 2 0 5 -6 6
17 Dijon 9 1 3 5 -8 6
18 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Strasbourg 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Metz 8 1 0 7 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Rennes
5′
🟨 Hamari Traore
Moustapha Diallo 🟨
17′
Nicolas Benezet 🟨
38′
45′
🟨 James Léa Siliki
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Afonso Figueiredo
↦ J. Lea Siliki
1–0 M. Diallo
57′
63′
🟨 Romain Danzé
66′
🟨 Wahbi Khazri
66′
🟨 Wahbi Khazri
66′
🟥 Wahbi Khazri
73′
🔁 J. Tell
↦ Ludovic Baal
Abdoul Camara 🔁
↦ N. Benezet
79′
80′
🔁 N. Janvier
↦ F. Maouassa
F. Eboa Eboa 🔁
↦ F. Tabanou
87′
2–0 J. Briand
Abdoul Camara
89′
Étienne Didot 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Afonso Figueiredo
S. Privat 🔁
↦ J. Briand
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
27 F. Tabanou D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
17 É. Didot M
5 M. Diallo M
10 N. Benezet M
7 L. Blas M
23 J. Briand F
21 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
9 Abdoul Camara
20 F. Eboa Eboa
11 S. Privat
18 L. Phiri
16 M. Caillard
14 K. Achahbar
26 T. Giresse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Rennes

4-4-1-1
40 T. Koubek G
24 Ludovic Baal D
27 H. Traoré D
5 J. Gnagnon D
20 G. Nyamsi D
18 M. Amalfitano M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
17 F. Maouassa D
8 W. Khazri F
9 N. Mubele F
Bench (7)
25 Afonso Figueiredo
19 J. Tell
35 N. Janvier
11 Brandon
33 J. Gelin
29 R. Danzé
1 A. Diallo

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.