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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Bordeaux
S U S U S
3–1
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 4. · Guingamp 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Monaco 7 6 0 1 +13 18
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Bordeaux 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Lyon 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Nice 7 3 1 3 +2 10
7 Marseille 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Nantes 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Caen 6 3 0 3 +1 9
10 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Angers 7 1 5 1 +1 8
12 Montpellier 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Amiens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
15 Rennes 6 1 2 3 -1 5
16 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Dijon 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Strasbourg 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Metz 6 1 0 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Guingamp
Jérémy Toulalan 🟨
2′
19′
🟨 Jordan Ikoko
1–0 F. Kamano
31′
Théo Pellenard 🟨
35′
40′
🟨 Christophe Kerbrat
Malcom 🟨
42′
Lukas Lerager 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ J. Briand
46′
Y. Salibur 1–1
M. Thuram
47′
🔁 L. Phiri
↦ É. Didot
A. Mendy 🔁
↦ L. Lerager
63′
Jonathan Cafú 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
74′
2–1 A. Mendy
Malcom
75′
78′
🔁 N. Benezet
↦ Abdoul Camara
V. Vada 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
88′
3–1 Jonathan Cafú
Y. Sankharé
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
20 Y. Sabaly D
21 T. Pellenard D
4 V. Jovanović D
5 Otávio M
14 J. Toulalan D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
12 N. de Préville F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
15 A. Mendy
22 Jonathan Cafú
23 V. Vada
6 I. Lewczuk
18 J. Plašil
24 G. Laborde
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
17 É. Didot M
8 L. Deaux M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
9 Abdoul Camara M
21 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
18 L. Phiri
24 M. Coco
10 N. Benezet
3 Pedro Rebocho
5 M. Diallo
16 M. Caillard
26 T. Giresse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.