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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

St Etienne

U U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,7

3,2

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 61%

35%

87%

Points per game

1,4

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

55%

77%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

48%

Average goals

2,6

3,7

Scored

1,2

3,1

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	31	27	2	2	+74	83
2	Monaco	31	20	7	4	+42	67
3	Marseille	31	18	8	5	+26	62
4	Lyon	31	17	9	5	+28	60
5	Rennes	31	13	7	11	+3	46
6	Montpellier	31	10	15	6	+5	45
7	Nice	31	13	6	12	-1	45
8	Nantes	31	12	8	11	-3	44
9	St Etienne	31	11	9	11	-8	42
10	Guingamp	31	10	8	13	-14	38
11	Dijon	31	10	8	13	-16	38
12	Bordeaux	31	10	7	14	-7	37
13	Angers	31	8	11	12	-6	35
14	Caen	31	10	5	16	-16	35
15	Amiens	31	9	7	15	-8	34
16	Strasbourg	31	8	9	14	-19	33
17	Toulouse	31	7	9	15	-14	30
18	Troyes	31	8	5	18	-17	29
19	Lille	31	7	7	17	-20	28
20	Metz	31	5	7	19	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	16	0	0	+51	48
2	Monaco	16	13	2	1	+28	41
3	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+19	31
4	Dijon	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Lyon	15	8	5	2	+11	29
6	Nice	16	8	2	6	+2	26
7	St Etienne	15	6	6	3	+1	24
8	Guingamp	16	6	6	4	+0	24
9	Caen	16	7	3	6	-1	24
10	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	+4	23
11	Strasbourg	16	6	5	5	+0	23
12	Nantes	15	7	2	6	-1	23
13	Bordeaux	15	6	4	5	+0	22
14	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
15	Troyes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
16	Toulouse	15	5	5	5	+1	20
17	Amiens	15	5	4	6	+0	19
18	Angers	15	5	4	6	-3	19
19	Lille	16	4	5	7	-6	17
20	Metz	15	3	3	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	11	2	2	+23	35
2	Lyon	16	9	4	3	+17	31
3	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+7	31
4	Monaco	15	7	5	3	+14	26
5	Rennes	16	7	4	5	+5	25
6	Montpellier	15	5	7	3	+1	22
7	Nantes	16	5	6	5	-2	21
8	Nice	15	5	4	6	-3	19
9	St Etienne	16	5	3	8	-9	18
10	Angers	16	3	7	6	-3	16
11	Bordeaux	16	4	3	9	-7	15
12	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
13	Guingamp	15	4	2	9	-14	14
14	Lille	15	3	2	10	-14	11
15	Caen	15	3	2	10	-15	11
16	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-15	10
17	Metz	16	2	4	10	-18	10
18	Strasbourg	15	2	4	9	-19	10
19	Troyes	15	2	2	11	-14	8
20	Dijon	15	1	5	9	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.