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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
Hannover
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 13. · Werder Bremen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 22 3 3 +52 69
2 Schalke 04 28 15 7 6 +13 52
3 Dortmund 28 13 9 6 +15 48
4 RB Leipzig 28 13 7 8 +6 46
5 Leverkusen 28 12 9 7 +12 45
6 Ein Frankfurt 28 13 6 9 +7 45
7 Hoffenheim 28 11 9 8 +11 42
8 Stuttgart 28 11 5 12 -5 38
9 M'gladbach 28 10 7 11 -6 37
10 Augsburg 28 9 9 10 +1 36
11 Hertha 28 8 12 8 +0 36
12 Werder Bremen 28 9 9 10 -1 36
13 Hannover 28 8 8 12 -7 32
14 Freiburg 28 6 12 10 -20 30
15 Wolfsburg 28 4 14 10 -9 26
16 Mainz 28 6 8 14 -17 26
17 FC Koln 28 5 5 18 -28 20
18 Hamburg 28 4 7 17 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Werder Bremen
1–0 M. Harnik
Miiko Albornoz
17′
2–0 F. Klaus
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ F. Kainz
Niclas Füllkrug 🟨
61′
74′
I. Belfodil 2–1
T. Delaney
76′
🟨 Sebastian Langkamp
82′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ M. Eggestein
P. Schwegler 🔁
↦ J. Elez
86′
88′
🟨 Zlatko Junuzović
88′
🔁 J. Eggestein
↦ P. Bargfrede
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
92′
N. Sarenren-Bazee 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hannover

4-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
3 Miiko Albornoz D
25 O. Sorg D
20 S. Sané D
2 J. Elez D
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
18 I. Fossum M
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
27 P. Schwegler
26 K. Karaman
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee
4 J. Korb
22 M. Ostrzolek
23 M. Esser
40 L. Maina

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
44 P. Bargfrede M
6 T. Delaney M
7 F. Kainz F
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
29 I. Belfodil F
Bench (7)
16 Z. Junuzović
11 M. Rashica
24 J. Eggestein
3 L. Caldirola
4 R. Bauer
8 J. Gondorf
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.