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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Nice
T U U S S
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 64%
41%
87%
Points per game
1,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
55%
77%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
47%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,1
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 8. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 26 2 2 +73 80
2 Monaco 30 20 6 4 +42 66
3 Marseille 29 17 8 4 +25 59
4 Lyon 29 15 9 5 +25 54
5 Rennes 30 13 6 11 +3 45
6 Nantes 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Montpellier 30 9 15 6 +3 42
8 Nice 29 12 6 11 -2 42
9 Dijon 30 10 8 12 -14 38
10 Bordeaux 30 10 7 13 -6 37
11 St Etienne 29 9 9 11 -13 36
12 Angers 31 8 11 12 -6 35
13 Guingamp 29 9 8 12 -13 35
14 Caen 30 10 5 15 -14 35
15 Strasbourg 30 8 8 14 -19 32
16 Amiens 30 8 7 15 -9 31
17 Toulouse 30 7 9 14 -12 30
18 Troyes 30 8 5 17 -15 29
19 Lille 30 7 7 16 -19 28
20 Metz 29 5 5 19 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Paris SG
1–0 A. Saint-Maximin
A. Pléa
17′
21′
Á. Di María 1–1
Yuri
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Kurzawa
↦ Yuri
74′
🟨 Marco Verratti
76′
🔁 T. Meunier
↦ E. Cavani
76′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ J. Draxler
82′
Dani Alves 1–2
A. Rabiot
B. Srarfi 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
83′
Alassane Pléa 🟨
90′
I. Sacko 🔁
↦ P. Lees Melou
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
31 Dante D
20 M. Le Marchand D
2 A. Souquet D
23 M. Sarr D
6 J. Seri M
25 W. Cyprien M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
9 M. Balotelli F
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
11 B. Srarfi
18 I. Sacko
4 Marlon
5 A. Tameze
15 P. Burner
27 J. Makengo
30 Y. Cardinale

Coach: L. Favre

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
32 Dani Alves D
2 Thiago Silva D
17 Yuri D
3 P. Kimpembe D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
20 L. Kurzawa
12 T. Meunier
18 G. Lo Celso
1 K. Trapp
5 Marquinhos
19 L. Diarra
24 C. Nkunku

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.