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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Amiens
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Monaco
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 18. · Monaco 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 14 1 0 +39 43
2 Montpellier 15 8 5 2 +13 29
3 Lyon 15 8 4 3 +8 28
4 Lille 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Marseille 15 8 2 5 +5 26
6 St Etienne 15 7 5 3 +4 26
7 Nice 15 7 3 5 -2 24
8 Strasbourg 15 5 6 4 +6 21
9 Reims 15 5 6 4 -3 21
10 Nimes 15 5 5 5 +2 20
11 Bordeaux 15 4 6 5 -1 18
12 Nantes 15 4 5 6 -1 17
13 Angers 15 4 5 6 -2 17
14 Rennes 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Toulouse 15 3 6 6 -11 15
16 Caen 15 2 7 6 -6 13
17 Dijon 15 3 4 8 -11 13
18 Amiens 15 4 1 10 -13 13
19 Monaco 15 2 4 9 -10 10
20 Guingamp 15 1 5 9 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Monaco
43′
R. Falcao 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 Youri Tielemans
S. Ghoddos 🔁
↦ F. Otero
61′
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ A. Blin
73′
74′
🔁 H. Massengo
↦ N. Chadli
S. Segarel 🔁
↦ E. Gnahoré
79′
86′
🟨 Youssef Aït Bennasser
Khaled Adenon 🟨
89′
Bakaye Dibassy 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Diego Benaglio
96′
R. Falcao 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
12 B. Dibassy D
8 Ganso M
6 T. Monconduit M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
10 S. Mendoza M
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
7 S. Ghoddos
24 M. Bodmer
33 S. Segarel
20 C. Timite
19 O. El Hajjam
16 M. Dreyer
25 J. Lefort

Coach: C. Pélissier

Monaco

4-1-4-1
16 D. Benaglio G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
39 B. Henrichs D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
32 B. Badiashile D
20 N. Chadli M
28 Pelé M
8 Y. Tielemans M
15 Y. Aït Bennasser M
9 R. Falcao F
Bench (7)
42 H. Massengo
5 Jemerson
40 L. Badiashile
43 K. Thuram-Ulien
41 G. Biancone
36 S. Diop
35 W. Isidor

Coach: T. Henry

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.