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Ligue 1

Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry

Amiens

T T S U U

1–1

Full-time

Monaco

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

0,5

2,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 51%

27%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

18%

67%

Both score Ø 30%

18%

42%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,6

2,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

10 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Amiens 18. · Monaco 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Monaco	12	9	1	2	+22	28
3	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Nantes	12	7	2	3	+2	23
6	St Etienne	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Caen	12	6	0	6	-5	18
8	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Troyes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-5	15
13	Guingamp	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Angers	12	2	7	3	-3	13
15	Nice	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Lille	12	3	3	6	-4	12
17	Dijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
18	Amiens	11	3	2	6	-6	11
19	Strasbourg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	12	1	0	11	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
6	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+8	11
7	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	St Etienne	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Nice	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Toulouse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
12	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
18	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	+1	5
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	6	0	0	6	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+9	11
5	Angers	6	2	4	0	+4	10
6	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Caen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Dijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Toulouse	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Lille	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Metz	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Guingamp	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.