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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Guingamp
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Rennes
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
11%
42%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Rennes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 16 2 0 +43 50
2 Lille 20 11 4 5 +12 37
3 Lyon 19 9 6 4 +9 33
4 St Etienne 19 9 6 4 +7 33
5 Montpellier 19 8 7 4 +10 31
6 Strasbourg 20 7 8 5 +8 29
7 Rennes 19 8 5 6 +3 29
8 Nice 19 8 5 6 -3 29
9 Marseille 18 8 4 6 +4 28
10 Reims 20 6 9 5 -3 27
11 Bordeaux 19 6 7 6 +0 25
12 Nantes 19 6 5 8 +0 23
13 Nimes 18 6 5 7 -2 23
14 Toulouse 19 5 6 8 -11 21
15 Angers 19 4 8 7 -3 20
16 Caen 20 3 9 8 -8 18
17 Amiens 20 5 3 12 -17 18
18 Dijon 19 4 5 10 -15 17
19 Monaco 19 3 5 11 -13 14
20 Guingamp 19 2 5 12 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Rennes
Marcus Coco 🟨
3′
1–0 F. Eboa Eboa
Pedro Rebocho
40′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Hamari Traore
57′
🔁 M. Zeffane
↦ R. Bensebaini
2–0 L. Deaux
L. Blas
59′
67′
🔁 B. André
↦ J. Johansson
Y. N'Gbakoto 🔁
↦ N. Roux
71′
78′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ R. Del Castillo
81′
🟨 Benjamin André
J. Sorbon 🔁
↦ M. Coco
82′
86′
M. Niang 2–1
R. Rodelin 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
89′
Ludovic Blas 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Mehdi Zeffane
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-1-4-1
16 M. Caillard G
29 C. Kerbrat D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
25 C. Traoré M
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
8 L. Deaux M
6 L. Phiri M
24 M. Coco M
7 L. Blas M
26 N. Roux F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
12 Y. N'Gbakoto
15 J. Sorbon
23 R. Rodelin
1 K. Johnsson
2 J. Ikoko
18 G. Fofana
22 É. Didot

Coach: Vincent Rautureau

Rennes

4-2-3-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
6 J. Johansson M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
9 T. Siebatcheu F
22 R. Del Castillo M
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
2 M. Zeffane
21 B. André
11 M. Niang
8 C. Grenier
14 B. Bourigeaud
26 J. Gelin
30 E. Gertmonas

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.