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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Rennes
U U T S S
4–0
Full-time
Nimes
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 11. · Nimes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Lyon 17 9 4 4 +9 31
4 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
5 St Etienne 17 7 6 4 +3 27
6 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
7 Nice 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Reims 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Strasbourg 18 5 8 5 +5 23
10 Nimes 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Rennes 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 17 4 6 7 -11 18
16 Caen 18 3 8 7 -6 17
17 Dijon 17 4 4 9 -12 16
18 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
19 Monaco 17 3 4 10 -11 13
20 Guingamp 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nimes
1–0 B. André
B. Bourigeaud
6′
2–0 B. Bourigeaud
T. Siebatcheu
14′
33′
🟨 Anthony Briancon
Half-time 3–0
3–0 T. Siebatcheu
I. Sarr
47′
54′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ S. Thioub
55′
🔁 S. Alakouch
↦ T. Valls
4–0 T. Siebatcheu
67′
J. Johansson 🔁
↦ T. Siebatcheu
68′
76′
🔁 A. Bobichon
↦ Denis Bouanga
Hamari Traore 🟨
79′
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
81′
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
86′
88′
🟨 Gaëtan Paquiez
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-2-3-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
8 C. Grenier M
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
9 T. Siebatcheu F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
6 J. Johansson
22 R. Del Castillo
12 J. Lea Siliki
2 M. Zeffane
23 A. Hunou
26 J. Gelin
30 E. Gertmonas

Coach: J. Stéphan

Nimes

4-3-3
30 P. Bernardoni G
27 H. Lybohy D
18 T. Valls M
6 J. Ferri M
11 T. Savanier M
23 A. Briançon D
15 G. Paquiez D
10 Denis Bouanga M
7 R. Alioui F
20 R. Ripart M
22 S. Thioub M
Bench (7)
19 U. Bozok
29 S. Alakouch
14 A. Bobichon
1 B. Valette
5 L. Landre
25 B. Guillaume
26 F. Miguel

Coach: B. Blaquart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.