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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Rennes
S T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 46%
39%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
50%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 8. · Lyon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 28 25 2 1 +70 77
2 Lille 29 17 6 6 +21 57
3 Lyon 29 15 8 6 +15 53
4 Marseille 29 14 5 10 +7 47
5 St Etienne 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 Reims 29 11 13 5 +4 46
7 Montpellier 29 10 12 7 +6 42
8 Rennes 28 11 8 9 +3 41
9 Nice 29 11 8 10 -8 41
10 Strasbourg 29 9 12 8 +10 39
11 Nimes 28 10 7 11 -2 37
12 Angers 29 8 12 9 +0 36
13 Bordeaux 29 8 10 11 -3 34
14 Toulouse 29 7 11 11 -15 32
15 Nantes 28 8 7 13 -4 31
16 Monaco 29 7 9 13 -14 30
17 Amiens 29 8 5 16 -19 29
18 Guingamp 29 5 7 17 -32 22
19 Dijon 29 5 6 18 -25 21
20 Caen 29 3 11 15 -21 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lyon
J. Gelin 🔁
↦ J. Lea Siliki
35′
Adrien Hunou 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
74′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ M. Dembélé
77′
🟨 Marcelo
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ M. Niang
77′
Mehdi Zeffane 🟨
82′
83′
🟨 Houssem Aouar
84′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ M. Depay
86′
M. Terrier 0–1
L. Dubois
90′
🟨 Tanguy Ndombélé
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
4 Mexer D
2 M. Zeffane D
5 S. Doumbia D
20 G. Nyamsi D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
21 B. André M
23 A. Hunou F
12 J. Lea Siliki M
11 M. Niang F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
26 J. Gelin
22 R. Del Castillo
8 C. Grenier
1 L. Badiashile
34 S. Boey
33 E. Camavinga
19 A. Lauriente

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lyon

4-3-1-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
4 Rafael D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
28 T. NDombèlé M
29 L. Tousart M
8 H. Aouar M
11 M. Depay F
18 N. Fekir M
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
7 M. Terrier
10 B. Traoré
20 Fernando Marçal
31 Y. Fékir
24 Pape Diop
15 J. Morel
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.