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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Nijmegen
S T
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · Ajax 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Twente 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen Ajax
Todd Kane 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
J. Grot 🔁
↦ K. Emilsson
46′
48′
⚽ A. Milik 0–1
L. Schöne
S. Lundholm 🔁
↦ M. Appiah
72′
72′
🔁 V. Fischer
↦ L. Schöne
72′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ A. El Ghazi
79′
🟨 Daley Sinkgraven
79′
🔁 K. Tete
↦ R. van Rhijn
86′
⚽ R. van Eijden 1–1
own goal
C. Çelik 🔁
↦ W. Golla
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nijmegen

1 H. Halldórsson G
3 R. van Eijden D
5 B. Buysse
2 M. Appiah D
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
25 N. Foor M
20 M. Rayhi F
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
14 K. Emilsson M
Bench (7)
31 J. Grot
7 S. Lundholm
23 C. Çelik
6 T. Daemen
8 G. Breinburg
26 M. van Duin
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Ajax

1 J. Cillessen G
3 J. Veltman D
2 R. van Rhijn D
35 M. Dijks D
22 J. Riedewald D
27 N. Gudelj M
10 D. Klaassen M
6 R. Bazoer M
20 L. Schöne M
9 A. Milik F
21 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
7 V. Fischer
8 D. Sinkgraven
23 K. Tete
5 J. Heitinga
26 N. Viergever
32 V. Černý
33 D. Boer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.