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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S T S S S

0–0

Full-time

Heracles

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 19/17 matches

Win Ø 66%

79%

53%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 42%

37%

47%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Heracles 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	19	15	2	2	+36	47
2	PSV Eindhoven	19	13	5	1	+27	44
3	Feyenoord	19	11	3	5	+15	36
4	Vitesse	19	9	4	6	+19	31
5	Nijmegen	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Heracles	17	9	3	5	+4	30
7	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	Groningen	19	7	7	5	-3	28
9	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	4	8	-2	25
10	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Den Haag	19	5	8	6	-1	23
12	Heerenveen	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Willem II	20	4	7	9	-4	19
14	Roda	19	4	7	8	-16	19
15	Excelsior	19	4	5	10	-14	17
16	Twente	19	4	4	11	-21	16
17	Cambuur	19	2	7	10	-24	13
18	De Graafschap	19	2	2	15	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+23	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Nijmegen	10	7	2	1	+10	23
4	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
7	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
11	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Willem II	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Den Haag	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Excelsior	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+14	21
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Roda	9	2	2	5	-12	8
13	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-10	7
14	Willem II	10	1	3	6	-7	6
15	Cambuur	9	1	3	5	-10	6
16	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Twente	10	0	3	7	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.