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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Excelsior

U T T T T

1–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

21%

68%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

68%

Both score Ø 61%

47%

74%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

1,1

2,5

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 15. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	3	2	+36	48
2	PSV Eindhoven	19	13	5	1	+27	44
3	Feyenoord	19	11	3	5	+15	36
4	Nijmegen	20	10	4	6	+7	34
5	Vitesse	19	9	4	6	+19	31
6	Heracles	18	9	4	5	+4	31
7	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	AZ Alkmaar	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Groningen	19	7	7	5	-3	28
10	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Den Haag	20	5	8	7	-3	23
12	Heerenveen	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Willem II	20	4	7	9	-4	19
14	Roda	19	4	7	8	-16	19
15	Excelsior	19	4	5	10	-14	17
16	Twente	20	4	4	12	-23	16
17	Cambuur	20	2	7	11	-26	13
18	De Graafschap	20	3	2	15	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nijmegen	11	8	2	1	+12	26
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+23	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+13	23
4	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
7	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
10	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
12	Willem II	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Den Haag	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Excelsior	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	De Graafschap	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+14	21
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	10	3	2	5	-3	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Roda	9	2	2	5	-12	8
13	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-10	7
14	Willem II	10	1	3	6	-7	6
15	Cambuur	10	1	3	6	-12	6
16	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Twente	11	0	3	8	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.