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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Excelsior

S T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Twente

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

3,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 12. · Twente 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+31	35
2	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+21	31
4	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Vitesse	14	7	3	4	+15	24
6	Groningen	14	7	3	4	+0	24
7	Nijmegen	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	Zwolle	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Den Haag	15	3	7	5	-5	16
12	Excelsior	14	4	4	6	-7	16
13	Roda	14	3	5	6	-15	14
14	Utrecht	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Willem II	14	2	5	7	-5	11
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-20	9
17	Cambuur	14	0	7	7	-23	7
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Groningen	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
6	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+18	15
7	Vitesse	7	5	0	2	+11	15
8	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Roda	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Den Haag	7	1	5	1	+0	8
14	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Twente	7	2	1	4	-8	7
16	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Cambuur	8	0	4	4	-14	4
18	De Graafschap	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Zwolle	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+4	9
7	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-4	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-4	5
12	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-5	5
13	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
14	De Graafschap	7	1	1	5	-10	4
15	Roda	6	1	1	4	-12	4
16	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-9	3
17	Twente	7	0	2	5	-12	2
18	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.