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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

De Graafschap

T S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Excelsior

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 15%

24%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Excelsior 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	2	2	+34	41
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	5	1	+23	38
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+19	36
4	Vitesse	18	9	4	5	+20	31
5	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Nijmegen	17	8	3	6	+4	27
7	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+3	27
8	Groningen	16	7	5	4	+0	26
9	AZ Alkmaar	18	6	4	8	-4	22
10	Utrecht	15	5	5	5	+0	20
11	Den Haag	17	4	8	5	-1	20
12	Heerenveen	18	5	5	8	-10	20
13	Willem II	17	4	6	7	-1	18
14	Excelsior	17	4	5	8	-11	17
15	Roda	18	3	7	8	-17	16
16	Twente	18	4	4	10	-19	16
17	Cambuur	18	2	7	9	-23	13
18	De Graafschap	17	1	2	14	-24	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+22	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
4	Groningen	8	6	2	0	+10	20
5	Nijmegen	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
7	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
10	Heerenveen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
11	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Willem II	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
15	Den Haag	8	1	6	1	+0	9
16	Excelsior	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Vitesse	9	3	4	2	+6	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-9	6
13	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Utrecht	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Roda	8	1	2	5	-13	5
17	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.