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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Feyenoord
S U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
58%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
53%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
68%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
5 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Heerenveen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +36 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 14 5 1 +29 47
3 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 +15 36
4 Nijmegen 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Vitesse 20 9 5 6 +19 32
6 Heracles 18 9 4 5 +4 31
7 Zwolle 18 8 5 5 +7 29
8 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 4 8 +0 28
9 Groningen 19 7 7 5 -3 28
10 Utrecht 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Den Haag 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Heerenveen 19 6 5 8 -8 23
13 Roda 20 5 7 8 -15 22
14 Willem II 20 4 7 9 -4 19
15 Excelsior 20 4 5 11 -16 17
16 Twente 20 4 4 12 -23 16
17 Cambuur 20 2 7 11 -26 13
18 De Graafschap 20 3 2 15 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heerenveen
21′
🟨 Pele Van Anholt
27′
🟨 Joey Van den Berg
A. Achahbar 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
32′
Miquel Nelom 🟨
36′
39′
H. Veerman 0–1
S. Larsson
Dirk Kuyt 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
Terence Kongolo 🟨
55′
60′
🟨 Morten Thorsby
63′
🔁 L. Slagveer
↦ A. Zeneli
68′
🟨 Stefano Marzo
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ M. Vejinovic
71′
1–1 A. Achahbar
D. Kuijt
71′
Tonny Vilhena 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 M. te Vrede
↦ H. Veerman
84′
J. van den Berg 1–2
S. Larsson
85′
🔁 L. Bijker
↦ C. Cavlan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
18 M. Nelom D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
5 M. Vejinovic M
21 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
29 A. Achahbar
14 B. Basaçikoglu
22 J. Bijlow
24 C. Verdonk
26 B. Nieuwkoop
27 Simon Gustafson
28 J. Toornstra

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
22 C. Cavlan D
6 S. Marzo D
2 P. van Anholt D
3 K. Otigba D
4 J. van Aken D
21 J. van den Berg
13 A. Zeneli F
8 M. Thorsby M
11 S. Larsson F
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (7)
7 L. Slagveer
9 M. te Vrede
5 L. Bijker
15 L. Zahovič
17 B. van den Boomen
25 W. Huizing
33 M. de Fockert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.