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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Heerenveen
U T T U T
2–5
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
13%
75%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 14. · Feyenoord 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +17 22
2 Feyenoord 8 6 1 1 +7 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Heracles 9 6 0 3 +8 18
5 Zwolle 8 5 2 1 +7 17
6 Vitesse 8 4 2 2 +11 14
7 Roda 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Nijmegen 9 4 1 4 +0 13
9 Groningen 9 4 1 4 -4 13
10 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Utrecht 9 2 4 3 -1 10
12 Excelsior 9 2 3 4 -4 9
13 Twente 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Heerenveen 8 1 4 3 -4 7
15 Willem II 9 1 3 5 -5 6
16 Den Haag 8 1 3 4 -6 6
17 Cambuur 9 0 5 4 -16 5
18 De Graafschap 8 0 1 7 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Feyenoord
7′
D. Kuijt 0–1
Simon Gustafson
16′
M. Kramer 0–2
Simon Gustafson
28′
Simon Gustafson 0–3
M. Kramer
32′
D. Kuijt 0–4
E. Elia
39′
D. Kuijt 0–5
Simon Gustafson
Jeremiah St. Juste 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–5
K. Otigba 🔁
↦ J. St. Juste
46′
S. Marzo 🔁
↦ B. van den Boomen
46′
Joey Van den Berg 🟨
48′
1–5 H. Veerman
S. Larsson
59′
60′
🔁 C. Kazim-Richards
↦ M. Kramer
Henk Veerman 🟨
62′
C. Cavlan 🔁
↦ J. Buijs
62′
Stefano Marzo 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 Eric Botteghin
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
2–5 H. Veerman
81′
83′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ Simon Gustafson
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
23 J. Buijs D
2 P. van Anholt D
5 L. Bijker D
16 J. St. Juste D
21 J. van den Berg
10 S. Thern M
17 B. van den Boomen M
11 S. Larsson F
7 L. Slagveer F
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (7)
3 K. Otigba
6 S. Marzo
22 C. Cavlan
8 M. Thorsby
15 L. Zahovič
33 M. de Fockert
36 T. Kada

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
4 T. Kongolo D
3 S. van Beek D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
5 M. Vejinovic M
26 B. Nieuwkoop D
27 Simon Gustafson M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
9 C. Kazim-Richards
33 Eric Botteghin
28 J. Toornstra
14 B. Basaçikoglu
16 W. Hahn
18 M. Nelom
21 T. Vilhena

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.