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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Groningen

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches

Win Ø 42%

41%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 7. · Heracles 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	26	6	2	+56	84
2	Ajax	34	25	7	2	+60	82
3	Feyenoord	34	19	6	9	+22	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	34	18	5	11	+17	59
5	Zwolle	32	14	6	12	+4	48
6	Heracles	30	13	8	9	+0	47
7	Groningen	32	13	8	11	-7	47
8	Vitesse	34	12	10	12	+17	46
9	Nijmegen	34	13	7	14	-5	46
10	Utrecht	30	12	7	11	+5	43
11	Den Haag	34	10	13	11	-1	43
12	Twente	34	12	7	15	-15	43
13	Heerenveen	34	11	9	14	-15	42
14	Roda	34	8	10	16	-21	34
15	Excelsior	34	7	9	18	-26	30
16	Willem II	34	6	11	17	-18	29
17	De Graafschap	34	5	8	21	-27	23
18	Cambuur	34	3	9	22	-46	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	3	1	+37	42
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+25	42
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+19	36
4	Nijmegen	17	11	2	4	+8	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	10	2	5	+14	32
6	Zwolle	16	10	2	4	+9	32
7	Twente	17	9	3	5	+6	30
8	Groningen	16	9	3	4	+5	30
9	Heracles	15	8	4	3	+4	28
10	Vitesse	17	7	4	6	+12	25
11	Utrecht	15	7	4	4	+3	25
12	Heerenveen	17	6	4	7	-5	22
13	Den Haag	17	4	8	5	-2	20
14	Excelsior	17	4	5	8	-10	17
15	De Graafschap	17	3	6	8	-6	15
16	Willem II	17	3	6	8	-7	15
17	Roda	17	3	6	8	-10	15
18	Cambuur	17	2	5	10	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+31	42
2	Ajax	17	12	4	1	+23	40
3	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	3	6	+3	27
4	Feyenoord	17	8	3	6	+3	27
5	Den Haag	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	+5	21
7	Heerenveen	17	5	5	7	-10	20
8	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
9	Roda	17	5	4	8	-11	19
10	Utrecht	15	5	3	7	+2	18
11	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-12	17
12	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Willem II	17	3	5	9	-11	14
14	Excelsior	17	3	4	10	-16	13
15	Twente	17	3	4	10	-21	13
16	Nijmegen	17	2	5	10	-13	11
17	De Graafschap	17	2	2	13	-21	8
18	Cambuur	17	1	4	12	-26	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.